{"id":13796,"date":"2024-11-13T15:55:17","date_gmt":"2024-11-13T15:55:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hiringlab.org\/uk\/?p=13796"},"modified":"2024-11-13T15:56:23","modified_gmt":"2024-11-13T15:56:23","slug":"uk-employment-figures-labour-market-continues-to-cool","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hiringlab.org\/uk\/blog\/2024\/11\/13\/uk-employment-figures-labour-market-continues-to-cool\/","title":{"rendered":"UK Employment Figures, November 2024: Labour Market Continues to Cool, but Wage Growth Remains Sticky"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>According to the latest data from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ons.gov.uk\/employmentandlabourmarket\/peopleinwork\/employmentandemployeetypes\/bulletins\/uklabourmarket\/november2024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Office for National Statistics<\/a> (ONS), the UK labour market continued to cool gradually in the third quarter. Vacancies fell by 35,000 to 831,000 nationwide, and have fallen continuously from post-pandemic peaks for over two years.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Year-over-year growth in regular pay continues to ease, falling 0.1 percentage points to 4.8% in July to September, though even that slower pace remains <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/uk\/bank-englands-pill-says-pay-growth-stuck-high-level-2024-11-12\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">uncomfortably high<\/a> for Bank of England policymakers. That\u2019s one reason why the Bank has signalled that further reductions in interest rates are likely to be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2024\/11\/07\/live-updates-bank-of-england-interest-rate-decision-november.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">gradual<\/a>, mindful of upside inflation risks should firms pass on higher labour costs by raising prices.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The unemployment rate edged up 0.1 percentage points, to 4.3% in the three months to September, while inactivity dropped over the quarter. However, these estimates come with the usual warning given <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/f899a598-1b72-4084-a451-297c42dc9a18\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ongoing issues<\/a> with the underlying Labour Force Survey, which continues to complicate policymakers\u2019 task of assessing underlying labour market strength.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Broadly, the figures show a labour market that continues to gradually loosen but remains somewhat tight, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ons.gov.uk\/employmentandlabourmarket\/peoplenotinwork\/unemployment\/timeseries\/jpc5\/lms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">1.8 unemployed jobseekers for each vacancy<\/a>. That\u2019s up from lows of 1.0 in mid-2022 but is similar to immediate pre-pandemic levels, and still relatively low by the standards of the past two decades.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tackling economic inactivity remains a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/uk\/uk-government-sets-up-board-tackle-labour-market-inactivity-2024-09-09\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">priority<\/a> for the government, which wants to boost labour supply as one pillar of raising the UK economy\u2019s growth potential. But the UK labour market faces a handful of near-term headwinds. October\u2019s Budget announcements, which included a hike in employer social security contributions, are expected to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2024\/nov\/12\/uk-unemployment-rises-pay-growth-jobs-employers-national-insurance\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">weigh on employment<\/a>. And the government\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/law\/2024\/oct\/10\/labour-employment-rights-bill-key-changes\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">workers\u2019 rights agenda<\/a> is also likely to push employers towards a more cautious approach to hiring.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite slower hiring demand, the UK labour market remains relatively tight.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":13797,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"recruiter-hub-blocks.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[252],"post_mwm_category":[349],"post_topic":[],"post_content_type":[],"post_duration":[],"post_actions":[],"post_franchise":[],"post_mwm_author":[305],"class_list":["post-13796","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-featured","post_mwm_category-state-of-the-labour-market","post_mwm_author-jackkennedy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - 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