{"id":11120,"date":"2019-12-06T16:35:48","date_gmt":"2019-12-06T15:35:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hiringlab.org\/fr\/?p=11120"},"modified":"2019-12-06T16:35:48","modified_gmt":"2019-12-06T15:35:48","slug":"taux-dactivite-taux-de-chomage","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hiringlab.org\/fr\/blog\/2019\/12\/06\/taux-dactivite-taux-de-chomage\/","title":{"rendered":"Taux d\u2019activit\u00e9, taux de ch\u00f4mage : une ann\u00e9e 2020 d\u00e9terminante sur le march\u00e9 du travail"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

L\u2019ann\u00e9e 2019 se cl\u00f4t sur un bilan mitig\u00e9 sur le march\u00e9 du travail, alors que 2020 devrait \u00eatre cruciale pour la promesse du chef de l\u2019Etat de ramener le ch\u00f4mage \u00e0 7 % en 2022.
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sur un an, le ch\u00f4mage baisse de 0,5 point, passant de 9,1 % de la population active \u00e0 8,6 % au troisi\u00e8me trimestre 2019. Dans le m\u00eame temps, le taux d\u2019activit\u00e9 aura chut\u00e9 de 0,7 point, principalement pour les jeunes de 15 \u00e0 24 ans (-1,5 point) et pour les 25-49 ans (-0,6 point). Si ces deux taux continuent \u00e0 baisser concomitamment, il est \u00e0 craindre que la baisse du ch\u00f4mage soit en r\u00e9alit\u00e9 un processus d\u2019exclusion des ch\u00f4meurs les plus \u00e9loign\u00e9s de l\u2019emploi, qui basculent dans l\u2019inactivit\u00e9 et souvent l\u2019aide sociale. Une telle dynamique n\u2019est \u00e9videmment souhaitable ni pour l\u2019activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique, ni pour l\u2019\u00e9quilibre des finances publiques et le financement du syst\u00e8me de protection sociale. 
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pourtant, les r\u00e9formes et les all\u00e8gements de charges entrepris depuis le quinquennat pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent ont bien permis \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise de cr\u00e9er des emplois (plus de 263 000 sur un an au troisi\u00e8me trimestre 2019), malgr\u00e9 la faiblesse relative de la croissance (estim\u00e9e entre 1,2 % et 1,3 % en 2019). La \u00ab qualit\u00e9 \u00bb de ces emplois cr\u00e9\u00e9s reste une inconnue. Beaucoup d\u2019employeurs sont en effet incit\u00e9s par les dispositifs d\u2019all\u00e9gement de charges \u00e0 cr\u00e9er des emplois r\u00e9mun\u00e9r\u00e9s aux alentours du SMIC, ce qui, outre leur faible attractivit\u00e9, pose le risque d\u2019une sp\u00e9cialisation du march\u00e9 du travail fran\u00e7ais sur des postes faiblement qualifi\u00e9s. La productivit\u00e9 et la croissance future s\u2019en trouveraient menac\u00e9s, et par cons\u00e9quent aussi la capacit\u00e9 de l\u2019\u00e9conomie fran\u00e7aise \u00e0 cr\u00e9er des emplois durables et adapt\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9conomie num\u00e9rique.
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u2019autre part, certains probl\u00e8mes structurels demeurent, notamment ceux que nous avons soulign\u00e9s dans notre rapport<\/a> publi\u00e9 en septembre. D\u2019abord le logement et la mobilit\u00e9, qui sont aux coeurs des enjeux de l\u2019emploi, mais qui restent malheureusement n\u00e9glig\u00e9s<\/a> par les politiques publiques comme par les entreprises. Ensuite, celui des pr\u00e9l\u00e8vements obligatoires sur le travail, pour lesquels la France affiche un taux bien sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 la moyenne europ\u00e9enne. Et celui enfin des r\u00e9glementations professionnelles dans un certain nombre de secteurs, au sujet duquel France Strat\u00e9gie a cru bon de publier un \u00e9tude<\/a> qui vient d\u00e9sormais s\u2019ajouter \u00e0 la longue liste qu\u2019a inaugur\u00e9e le rapport Armand-Rueff en 1960.
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019ann\u00e9e 2020 devrait \u00eatre marqu\u00e9e par la r\u00e9forme des retraites, qui pose le probl\u00e8me plus large de la protection sociale des actifs aux carri\u00e8res heurt\u00e9es (parmi lesquels on trouve beaucoup de femmes, des polypensionn\u00e9s ou encore des ind\u00e9pendants \u00ab freelance \u00bb). L\u2019objectif de 7 % de ch\u00f4mage en 2022 para\u00eet certes atteignable, mais il ne signifiera plus grand chose s\u2019il continue de s\u2019accompagner d\u2019une r\u00e9duction importante du taux d\u2019activit\u00e9, qui placera durablement le pays parmi ceux qui sont le moins actifs de la zone euro. L\u2019ann\u00e9e prochaine devrait aussi \u00eatre cruciale pour certaines innovations sur le march\u00e9 du travail. C\u2019est le cas de l\u2019application \u00ab Mon compte formation \u00bb, dont le d\u00e9ploiement permettra peut-\u00eatre de combler plus ais\u00e9ment les besoins des entreprises en formant mieux certains demandeurs d\u2019emplois, ou encore du sort de l\u2019exp\u00e9rimentation \u00ab territoires z\u00e9ro ch\u00f4meurs de longue dur\u00e9e \u00bb, dont l\u2019objectif est de fournir un travail d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat g\u00e9n\u00e9ral \u00e0 des ch\u00f4meurs souvent tr\u00e8s \u00e9loign\u00e9s de l\u2019emploi dans des territoires o\u00f9 les services publics sont parfois insuffisants. Ce dernier dispositif a \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9cemment au coeur d\u2019une pol\u00e9mique<\/a> en raison de son co\u00fbt.
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u2019ann\u00e9e 2019 se cl\u00f4t sur un bilan mitig\u00e9 sur le march\u00e9 du travail, alors que 2020 devrait \u00eatre cruciale pour la promesse du chef de l\u2019Etat de ramener le ch\u00f4mage \u00e0 7 % en 2022. Sur un an, le ch\u00f4mage baisse de 0,5 point, passant de 9,1 % de la population active \u00e0 8,6 % […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":11122,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"recruiter-hub-blocks.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"post_mwm_category":[223],"post_topic":[],"post_content_type":[],"post_duration":[],"post_actions":[],"post_franchise":[],"post_mwm_author":[189],"class_list":["post-11120","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","post_mwm_category-uncategorized","post_mwm_author-ajudes"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nTaux d\u2019activit\u00e9, taux de ch\u00f4mage : une ann\u00e9e 2020 d\u00e9terminante sur le march\u00e9 du travail - Indeed Hiring Lab France<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hiringlab.org\/fr\/blog\/2019\/12\/06\/taux-dactivite-taux-de-chomage\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Taux d\u2019activit\u00e9, taux de ch\u00f4mage : une ann\u00e9e 2020 d\u00e9terminante sur le march\u00e9 du travail - Indeed Hiring Lab France\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"L\u2019ann\u00e9e 2019 se cl\u00f4t sur un bilan mitig\u00e9 sur le march\u00e9 du travail, alors que 2020 devrait \u00eatre cruciale pour la promesse du chef de l\u2019Etat de ramener le ch\u00f4mage \u00e0 7 % en 2022. 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