{"id":12915,"date":"2020-12-02T08:01:00","date_gmt":"2020-12-02T13:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hiringlab.org\/en-ca\/?p=12915"},"modified":"2020-12-02T08:01:00","modified_gmt":"2020-12-02T13:01:00","slug":"november-2020-lfs-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hiringlab.org\/en-ca\/2020\/12\/02\/november-2020-lfs-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"November Labour Force Survey Preview: Pandemic-Exposed Sectors Under Pressure"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The Canadian labour market made further progress in October, as declines in both accomodation and food service, and recreation and culture, weren\u2019t severe enough<\/a> to offset gains elsewhere. A similar dynamic might have continued through the November 15-21 Labour Force Survey reference week, but with the balance potentially tilted further to the downside.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Accommodation and food service employment fell 4.6% in October, but the drop wasn\u2019t spread evenly. Rather, over 85% of the decline was in Quebec, which was the first province to implement wide restrictions<\/a> on dining in response to the fall upswing in the pandemic. Since then, there\u2019s been a surge in COVID-19 cases in other provinces, more time for existing restrictions in provinces such as Ontario to bite, and colder temperatures reducing demand for patio dining. As a result, job losses in food services could be wider spread this time around.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As was the case in October, whether the upswing in the pandemic actually stalls the broader labour market recovery will depend on whether other less exposed industries also lose momentum. Job postings on Indeed Canada showed further progress in getting back to normal, closing the gap from 15% to 8% below last year\u2019s trend over the month to mid-November<\/a>, suggesting hiring appetite hasn\u2019t fallen back despite the deteriorating public health situation.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lastly, despite just a two-week turnaround time since the end of the reference week, the upcoming job numbers will have to play catchup to the even faster-changing pandemic and resulting economic restrictions. For instance, they won\u2019t capture the latest round of restrictions in most of the Toronto area that came into force November 23, which could affect a wide swath of the retail sector. Such is the nature of tracking the labour market during a pandemic. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The numbers won\u2019t capture the most recent Toronto-area restrictions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":14069,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"recruiter-hub-blocks.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"post_mwm_category":[715],"post_topic":[],"post_content_type":[],"post_duration":[],"post_actions":[],"post_franchise":[],"post_mwm_author":[670],"class_list":["post-12915","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","post_mwm_category-state-of-the-labour-market","post_mwm_author-bbernard"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNovember Labour Force Survey Preview: Pandemic-Exposed Sectors Under Pressure - Indeed Hiring Lab Canada<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hiringlab.org\/en-ca\/2020\/12\/02\/november-2020-lfs-preview\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"November Labour Force Survey Preview: Pandemic-Exposed Sectors Under Pressure - 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