{"id":12667,"date":"2025-04-18T04:47:55","date_gmt":"2025-04-17T18:47:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hiringlab.org\/au\/?p=12667"},"modified":"2025-04-23T05:22:46","modified_gmt":"2025-04-22T19:22:46","slug":"march-2025-au-labour-force-survey","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hiringlab.org\/au\/blog\/2025\/04\/18\/march-2025-au-labour-force-survey\/","title":{"rendered":"March 2025 AU Labour Force Survey: Employment Has Stalled in 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Key Points:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Australian employment growth has stalled over the past three months, up by just 6,500 people.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Australia\u2019s unemployment rate remains low at 4.1%, while the labour force participation rate has tumbled since reaching a record high in January.\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Forward-looking measures of labour demand, such as Indeed job postings, remain healthy even though they have declined over the past year.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>While Australian employment rose 32,200 people in March \u2014 normally a healthy figure \u2014 it followed a decline of 57,500 people in February. Australia\u2019s job market has started the year in a sluggish fashion, with employment up just 6,500 people over the first three months. That\u2019s a fair departure from last year when the job market was regularly adding 100,000 people or more a quarter.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Australian employment increased by 308,000 people over the past year, but just 96,600 people over the past six months. A little over half of annual employment growth was driven by full-time employment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXcohlSSoENSNySsaGELE5kaXBbUzuXr_PXIbPK9l3j0X1-pgU6f9qMEH4qvzeULhaAHbQoV1RsS9RTrxzVhuGR7YziM33OTrelnJUePYNEHBhlPAb0bNbgcSo3rOSbi2GDW4wryBA?key=6fefFt1k7ZcdNz8vHsXUovC3\" alt=\"Bar graph titled \u201cChange in Australian employment\u201d shows the annual change in employment for full-time, part-time, and total jobs from 2019 through 2025. With a vertical axis ranging from -800,000 to 1,200,000, Australian employment rose by 308,000 people over the past year.\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Bar graph titled \u201cChange in Australian employment\u201d shows the annual change in employment for full-time, part-time, and total jobs from 2019 through 2025. With a vertical axis ranging from -800,000 to 1,200,000, Australian employment rose by 308,000 people over the past year.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Given that, it\u2019s perhaps surprising that Australia\u2019s unemployment rate hasn\u2019t increased more. The reason, however, is quite simple: Australia&#8217;s participation rate has declined by 0.5 percentage points over the past two months, effectively absorbing the impact of low employment growth.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the participation rate had held steady at its record high from January, Australia\u2019s unemployment rate would have jumped to 4.7% \u2014 a far cry from the 4.1% official rate.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXeONcIkSRAhLLGdd6zf-dAjdiwkBgcXUmqWNyNpU1uoLL2Y0uGmGMjYxkIow3VwXhztNGTMFuF0Ccb-bCtJklSoyCytiSZ2GHUVMfRPUWT5WoBwEm3DwNouuyXZc3OR6OK7yLbKfg?key=6fefFt1k7ZcdNz8vHsXUovC3\" alt=\"Line graph titled \u201cAustralian labour force participation rate\u201d shows both the seasonally adjusted and the trend share of the working-age population (%). With a vertical axis ranging from 60 to 68%, Australia\u2019s participation rate was 66.8% in February, down 0.5 percentage points since its record high in January.\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Line graph titled \u201cAustralian labour force participation rate\u201d shows both the seasonally adjusted and the trend share of the working-age population (%). With a vertical axis ranging from 60 to 68%, Australia\u2019s participation rate was 66.8% in February, down 0.5 percentage points since its record high in January.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The slowdown in employment growth is somewhat at odds with ongoing strength in forward-looking indicators of labour demand, such as job vacancies or <a href=\"https:\/\/data.indeed.com\/#\/postings\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">job advertisements<\/a>. Employers continue to report higher-than-normal vacancies that need to be filled, with Indeed\u2019s job postings index for Australia still 52% above its pre-pandemic baseline through early April.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXf9fNgQS0Xi_m3x_3VLtZ0__vUIPl7wXXO66FqqMhaUGApvgozt2eH4ZAxRNScklD1kNEstQjCO-3uPSRAuCXk5r70w599mngvsjf6bUJcT8X0jW5-hxsUAkU-bbMnqUUJSZtQJzA?key=6fefFt1k7ZcdNz8vHsXUovC3\" alt=\"Line graph titled \u201cAustralian job postings on Indeed.\u201d With a vertical axis ranging from 0 to 250, indexed so that 1 Feb 2020 = 100, Australian job postings were 52% above their pre-pandemic baseline on 11 April 2025.\u00a0\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Line graph titled \u201cAustralian job postings on Indeed.\u201d With a vertical axis ranging from 0 to 250, indexed so that 1 Feb 2020 = 100, Australian job postings were 52% above their pre-pandemic baseline on 11 April 2025.\u00a0<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Most labour market metrics, though, remain quite healthy, with some even improving. Australia\u2019s underemployment rate \u2014 the share of Australians with a job who would prefer more hours \u2014 fell to its lowest level since August 2008. Australian workers are increasingly able to find the hours they need, critical when faced with cost-of-living pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com\/docsz\/AD_4nXczrpfWbcHMM5jNvBeiypTpvpoVOSJ09BvPy4pVI-xpO7PtlMD-j9RwPM7u3aLmR_a0ahl3FVsK4pz1040cx4sFT2q7Gt29tSAkcOrxL1P_T2_jJum8I1Vns-GxQbUEnnS5J8j6?key=6fefFt1k7ZcdNz8vHsXUovC3\" alt=\"Line graph titled \u201cAustralian unemployment measures.\u201d With a vertical axis ranging from 0 to 25%, Australian unemployment measures remain low, with the unemployment rate (4.1%), the underemployment rate (5.9%) and the underutilisation rate (9.9%) all low by historical standards.\u00a0\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Line graph titled \u201cAustralian unemployment measures.\u201d With a vertical axis ranging from 0 to 25%, Australian unemployment measures remain low, with the unemployment rate (4.1%), the underemployment rate (5.9%) and the underutilisation rate (9.9%) all low by historical standards.\u00a0<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Assessment and implications<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Australia\u2019s economic landscape has changed considerably in recent weeks. Carnage in financial markets, high levels of economic and geopolitical uncertainty and a suddenly weaker economic outlook will all weigh heavily on labour market conditions this year.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That said, conditions had already softened slightly over the first three months of the year, with employment growing modestly compared to strong gains last year. Forward-looking measures of labour demand remain healthy, but that could change quickly if global growth deteriorates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The global economic environment has shifted in such a fashion that the Reserve Bank of Australia is now likely to cut interest rates aggressively, positioning the economy to better absorb the damage of an ongoing trade war.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Australia\u2019s job market remains tight, but conditions have certainly cooled in early 2025. Geopolitical and economic uncertainty could weigh heavily on Australia\u2019s job market this year as global growth deteriorates.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":12668,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"recruiter-hub-blocks.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":true,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[141],"post_mwm_category":[224],"post_topic":[],"post_content_type":[],"post_duration":[],"post_actions":[],"post_franchise":[],"post_mwm_author":[182],"class_list":["post-12667","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-multimedia","post_mwm_category-state-of-the-labour-market","post_mwm_author-cpickering"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>March 2025 AU Labour Force Survey: Employment Has Stalled in 2025 - Indeed Hiring Lab Australia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Australia\u2019s job market remains tight, but conditions have certainly cooled in early 2025. 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